Horse Archives - BOLLYWOOD SURKHIYAN

A Surefire Horse Racing System For Beginner’s Luck and Betting on the Races

Anyone who gambles or places bets on horse races eventually learns about beginner’s luck. Beginner’s luck (BL) is the phenomena of beating the odds whenever you bet on a new game or go to the horse track for the first time. It is usually balanced off by that other natural law of gambling known as, “what goes round comes round.” That is usually experienced the second time you go to the track and bet extravagantly because it seemed so easy to win the first time. The result is that usually you lose all your winnings from the first trip with a little more thrown in, just to keep the pot full for the next beginner, and so it goes.

So how can anyone use BL to beat the odds consistently? It seems that it is impossible to keep being a beginner at the race track, or anything else in life. But a friend of mine actually did find a way to beat the system, for a while anyway, and developed what he called the Beginner’s Luck Horse Racing System.

The key to my friend’s method was that he had to have someone who had never been to the races with him whenever he used the system. He wasn’t much of a planner and didn’t like the cerebral strain of handicapping the races. Being a free spirit, he was more inclined to decide to go to the race track at the last minute. The problem with this method, of course, is where do you find someone who is willing to drop everything and go with you at a moment’s notice?

His remedy for the situation was to drive to the part of town where ladies could be found on the street corners. These ladies were in the entertainment business, so to speak, and would readily accompany him, if the price was right and paid up front. While his first question to them was a bit out of the ordinary, he was able to find willing participants who had never been to the race track before.

He would take the lady to the track and show her a very good time and of course, he would bet on anything she picked and would often have a very good day. Other than running out of a supply of lady “entertainers” who had never been to the race track, it seemed there wasn’t a flaw in his plan until he proposed a trip to the track to the wrong lady. While she appeared to be a lady entertainer, she was actually a lady police officer in disguise. He was arrested for propositioning, though the charges were later dropped when it was determined that asking someone if they would like to go to the race track is not a crime, even if you offer to pay him or her to accompany you.

While it may appear that the Beginner’s Luck System had finally failed, it was revealed that this was actually the lady police officer’s first day working undercover. In other words, her first arrest was just, you guessed it, BL.

How To Become a Horse Racing Handicapping Expert and Make Money Off The Races

It is not impossible to make money off the races, but it does take work to become a horse racing handicapping expert. Like anything else in life, you must want it to succeed at it. The reason is that so many people are trying to do the same thing.

On any given day across the country and around the world there are people who are doing their very best to handicap the races and make money. For some people it is a matter of necessity. For others it is a hobby, but they take it seriously. Whether it is an intellectual exercise or a matter of financial survival, there are people who are working at handicapping.

So if you are trying to make money at it, that is what you are up against. The only way you are going to make money and stake your claim to the millions that are wagered everyday is to become an expert.

There are different ways to become an expert. One way it to learn everything you can about thoroughbred horses and the business of racking. Unless you were born into it and grew up on the backstretch, that isn’t likely to happen.

A route that is easier and more feasible is to become an expert in a smaller sphere of influence. What I mean is that you need to select one track or circuit and learn as much as you can about the people who race on that circuit. If you have ten trainers who regularly race horses on one circuit and get to know their moves, you have a chance to win money at horse racing handicapping.

It still isn’t easy, but it is possible. It takes hours of study and you must keep notes. At first it seems like a daunting task and there is a lot of time spent just watching. Like a fisherman who waits for a fish to swim by and take the bait, you must wait for the right situation when you think the trainer has gotten his or her horse in the right situation to win. Then you need to know that the trainer is indeed going to make the move, or in the jargon of the backstretch, to “send,” the horse.

You can study the trainers on your own and begin to figure them out, but using a good method of tote board analysis like the one in True Handicapping will make it easier to figure out if the stable is betting the horse. My advice is, if you truly want to be successful, work, work, work, and use a method like true handicapping to justify a good bet.

You may just be one of the few who through hard work become a successful handicapper. If this sounds like too much work or effort, then I suggest you consider yourself a recreational handicapper and confine yourself to bets you can afford, and as they say, “Don’t quit your day job.”

Horse Racing Luck Starts in the Breeding Shed and on the Farm

For many horse racing fans and handicappers the world of thoroughbred breeding is a murky land of wealthy owners, eccentric breeders, and great sires and dams. Most of the information about this starting point of horse racing comes from the short articles in the form and newsletters they receive or the tear jerking human interest stories we get once a year from the major networks who carry the Triple Crown races.

The truth of the matter is that horse breeding and racing is a business and as such, it is done for profit. The people who control the business, or at least steer it, are the ones who pay big money for stud fees and who buy the weanlings and yearlings. While the horseplayers support the racing industry with their bets, wealthy owners support the industry with their fees. For many owners, race horse ownership is an expensive hobby that doesn’t pay for itself. The money they spend every year helps the breeders to know how to plan their own breeding programs.

Sometimes the breeder makes a great move and spots a fantastic foal that he or she keeps for his or her own racing interests. But often the breeder will spot a standout foal and still let it go to auction. The reasoning is that the foal will boost the stallion’s prestige and in turn his stud fees. It is good luck to have a foal go on to win a grade 1 race because that is the most prestigious mark of a great sire.

When Da’Tara won the Belmont, many people wondered if the breeders, WinStar Farm’s Bill Casner and Ken Troutt, who had sold the colt for $100,000 regretted letting the grade 1 winner go. Of course it would have been fun to stand in the winner’s circle at Belmont Park as the owners of the Tiznow colt that wired the field at 38-1, but the owners understand that breeding is a business and in order to promote Tiznow as a stallion, the foals must make it to the sales ring. That is good business for their farm and good for the industry.

While some people may think it unlucky that they also sold Da’Tara’s dam before her offspring won the final leg of the Triple Crown, the owners philosophically point out that they also sold Funny Cide and he went on to win the Kentucky Derby. Selling horses is what they do and that is the thoroughbred breeding business. The luck isn’t in whether or not you sell a great horse, its whether or not your stallions produce great horses for you to sell. As for the stallion Tiznow, it appears he is their lucky charm and he is still in their barn.

The Easiest Horse Races to Handicap and Win

If you have been handicapping horse races and trying to win money then you probably know how difficult it can be. But did you ever consider the fact that all horse races are not created equally? There are horse races that are easier to handicap and also are very profitable.

Wise bettors keep track of their progress and wagers so they can tell what they are good at and where their strengths are so that they can focus their efforts and maximize their time to best advantage. Some people specialize in maidens while others prefer to handicap turf races.

The first thing I advise you to do is to keep records of what you wager on and how well you do. Keep notes and refer to them. Set aside a little time each week or month to go over your bets and see where your handicapping strengths are.

I have found that mid level claimers are the best races for me. I prefer the ones run on a dirt track or all weather track, too. The reasons I have found these races particularly profitable is that I can get good odds on horses that are improving and it is also easier to compare the horses.

Claiming races are WYSIWYG races, meaning, “what you see is what you get.” Very few good trainers put a horse that can compete in a $25,000 claiming race for a purse of $25,000 in a race for a lower purse. It just doesn’t make economic sense. They put their horse where it can be competitive and earn the most money. Training horses, after all, is a business and that makes good business sense.

So when I handicap a mid level claiming race and compare the horses it is relatively easy to see which horse is capable of competing at that level and which horses are moving up or dropping down in class.

Another benefit of handicapping those races is that I can see a good trainer claim a horse and follow the moves that he or she is making to improve the horse and win. Equipment changes help but there are other things they do, such as changes in diet and exercise that will improve a horse. Some trainers like to claim a horse and drop it in class if they are reasonably certain that their horse can win the race. The runner might be claimed from the race for a lower price than they paid for it, but the claiming check they receive, plus the purse money and any bets they win offset the loss in claiming price.

All of these moves and the horses ability are more transparent in claiming races. Most claimers have been running for a while and have shown what they can do, hence the term WYSIWYG. When I see a horse that has demonstrated the ability to win at the $10,000 level for a fair trainer that has been claimed and is now in the barn of a much better trainer, I know the horse will probably improve and win at a higher level. These bets often are not appreciated by the public and good odds can be found on them.

The reason I stick with mid level claimers is that experience has shown the runners in the cheaper races are just too inconsistent and sometimes have major problems. Once in a while they manage a god performance but their record is so spotty it is impossible to tell when that might be.

Try sticking to mid level claiming races for a few programs and see how you do. Use a reasonable system and have realistic expectations and you may be pleasantly surprised by your own performance as a handicapper.